I. Introduction

II.

Secondary Objectives

Table 1. Baseline Characteristics
Characteristic Overall
N = 180
1
ABC
N = 30
1
ACB
N = 30
1
BAC
N = 30
1
BCA
N = 30
1
CAB
N = 30
1
CBA
N = 30
1
p-value2
Age (years) 32 (8) [18, 45] 33 (8) [19, 44] 31 (7) [18, 42] 31 (7) [20, 44] 33 (8) [19, 45] 32 (7) [21, 44] 31 (7) [20, 44] 0.6
Race






0.9
    Black 64 (36%) 12 (40%) 13 (43%) 12 (40%) 10 (33%) 8 (27%) 9 (30%)
    White 52 (29%) 8 (27%) 9 (30%) 7 (23%) 7 (23%) 12 (40%) 9 (30%)
    Other 64 (36%) 10 (33%) 8 (27%) 11 (37%) 13 (43%) 10 (33%) 12 (40%)
Female 81 (45%) 13 (43%) 11 (37%) 16 (53%) 14 (47%) 12 (40%) 15 (50%) 0.8
1 Mean (SD) [Min, Max]; n (%)
2 Kruskal-Wallis rank sum test; Pearson’s Chi-squared test

preliminary assessment and comparison of systemic and local Pharmacokinetics (PK) of Pill A, Gel B, and Gel C and the correlation of PK with adherence measures and the occurrence of adverse events

Blood PK

\[ Y_{ik} = \mu + b_{k} + \pi_i + \tau_{i} + \lambda_{i} + \alpha_{ik} + \beta_{ik} + \varepsilon_{ik}, \quad b_{k} \sim N(0, \sigma_b^2), \quad \varepsilon_{ik} \sim N(0, \sigma^2) \]

## Linear mixed model fit by REML. t-tests use Satterthwaite's method [
## lmerModLmerTest]
## Formula: bloodVL_change ~ treatment + overall_adhere + overall_safety +  
##     period + (1 | ptid)
##    Data: merged
## 
## REML criterion at convergence: 4827.4
## 
## Scaled residuals: 
##     Min      1Q  Median      3Q     Max 
## -3.5936 -0.5795  0.0153  0.6127  3.0873 
## 
## Random effects:
##  Groups   Name        Variance Std.Dev.
##  ptid     (Intercept)  23.09    4.805  
##  Residual             445.60   21.109  
## Number of obs: 540, groups:  ptid, 180
## 
## Fixed effects:
##                                Estimate Std. Error       df t value
## (Intercept)                     73.4552     6.7058 419.7421  10.954
## treatmentGel B                  -6.7916     2.3555 417.1354  -2.883
## treatmentGel C                  -9.0880     2.2967 391.5595  -3.957
## overall_adhere                   0.9365     0.1882 269.4894   4.975
## overall_safetyNo Adverse Event  26.4624     3.4675 521.9424   7.632
## periodperiod2                   -2.3295     2.2271 356.0129  -1.046
## periodperiod3                   -1.5433     2.2252 355.4545  -0.694
##                                            Pr(>|t|)    
## (Intercept)                    < 0.0000000000000002 ***
## treatmentGel B                              0.00414 ** 
## treatmentGel C                    0.000090106833739 ***
## overall_adhere                    0.000001161748206 ***
## overall_safetyNo Adverse Event    0.000000000000111 ***
## periodperiod2                               0.29629    
## periodperiod3                               0.48842    
## ---
## Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## 
## Correlation of Fixed Effects:
##             (Intr) trtmGB trtmGC ovrll_ ov_NAE prdpr2
## treatmntGlB -0.437                                   
## treatmntGlC -0.359  0.538                            
## overall_dhr -0.832  0.328  0.247                     
## ovrll_sfNAE -0.616  0.080  0.032  0.196              
## periodperd2 -0.129 -0.009 -0.006 -0.026 -0.038       
## periodperd3 -0.173  0.001  0.001  0.004  0.009  0.499
Comparison Beta 95% CI p-value
Intercept (Pill A, Period 1, Sequence 0, No Adherence or AE) 73.5 60.3, 86.6 <0.001
Treatment

<0.001
    Gel B vs Pill A -6.8 -11.4, -2.2
    Gel C vs Pill A -9.1 -13.6, -4.6
Additional Day of Adherence 0.9 0.6, 1.3 <0.001
Adverse Event

<0.001
    No Adverse Event 26.5 19.7, 33.3
Period

0.6
    Period 2 vs Period 1 -2.3 -6.7, 2.1
    Period 3 vs Period 1 -1.5 -5.9, 2.8
Abbreviation: CI = Confidence Interval
##  contrast       estimate   SE  df t.ratio p.value
##  Pill A - Gel B     6.79 2.36 417   2.882  0.0115
##  Pill A - Gel C     9.09 2.30 391   3.956  0.0003
##  Gel B - Gel C      2.30 2.24 359   1.027  0.5602
## 
## Results are averaged over the levels of: overall_safety, period 
## Degrees-of-freedom method: kenward-roger 
## P value adjustment: tukey method for comparing a family of 3 estimates
##  contrast          estimate   SE  df t.ratio p.value
##  period1 - period2    2.330 2.23 355   1.046  0.5484
##  period1 - period3    1.543 2.23 355   0.694  0.7674
##  period2 - period3   -0.786 2.23 356  -0.353  0.9337
## 
## Results are averaged over the levels of: treatment, overall_safety 
## Degrees-of-freedom method: kenward-roger 
## P value adjustment: tukey method for comparing a family of 3 estimates

Skin PK

Linear Model

## 
## Call:
## lm(formula = skinVL_change ~ treatment + overall_adhere + overall_safety + 
##     period, data = merged)
## 
## Residuals:
##      Min       1Q   Median       3Q      Max 
## -112.388  -22.128    1.035   20.921  115.662 
## 
## Coefficients:
##                                Estimate Std. Error t value             Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept)                    105.6003     9.9680  10.594 < 0.0000000000000002
## treatmentGel B                 -24.4131     3.6314  -6.723       0.000000000046
## treatmentGel C                 -36.9951     3.5493 -10.423 < 0.0000000000000002
## overall_adhere                   1.8154     0.2753   6.594       0.000000000103
## overall_safetyNo Adverse Event  55.7940     5.2166  10.696 < 0.0000000000000002
## periodperiod2                    0.8567     3.4535   0.248                0.804
## periodperiod3                    1.6225     3.4507   0.470                0.638
##                                   
## (Intercept)                    ***
## treatmentGel B                 ***
## treatmentGel C                 ***
## overall_adhere                 ***
## overall_safetyNo Adverse Event ***
## periodperiod2                     
## periodperiod3                     
## ---
## Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## 
## Residual standard error: 32.74 on 533 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared:  0.3581, Adjusted R-squared:  0.3508 
## F-statistic: 49.55 on 6 and 533 DF,  p-value: < 0.00000000000000022
Comparison Beta 95% CI p-value
Intercept (Pill A, Period 1, Sequence 0, No Adherence or AE) 105.6 86.0, 125.2 <0.001
Treatment

<0.001
    Gel B vs Pill A -24.4 -31.5, -17.3
    Gel C vs Pill A -37.0 -44.0, -30.0
Additional Day of Adherence 1.8 1.3, 2.4 <0.001
Adverse Event

<0.001
    No Adverse Event 55.8 45.5, 66.0
Period

0.9
    Period 2 vs Period 1 0.9 -5.9, 7.6
    Period 3 vs Period 1 1.6 -5.2, 8.4
Abbreviation: CI = Confidence Interval
##  contrast       estimate   SE  df t.ratio p.value
##  Pill A - Gel B     24.4 3.63 533   6.723  <.0001
##  Pill A - Gel C     37.0 3.55 533  10.423  <.0001
##  Gel B - Gel C      12.6 3.47 533   3.631  0.0009
## 
## Results are averaged over the levels of: overall_safety, period 
## P value adjustment: tukey method for comparing a family of 3 estimates
##  contrast          estimate   SE  df t.ratio p.value
##  period1 - period2   -0.857 3.45 533  -0.248  0.9666
##  period1 - period3   -1.623 3.45 533  -0.470  0.8853
##  period2 - period3   -0.766 3.45 533  -0.222  0.9733
## 
## Results are averaged over the levels of: treatment, overall_safety 
## P value adjustment: tukey method for comparing a family of 3 estimates

Linear Mixed Model

## Linear mixed model fit by REML. t-tests use Satterthwaite's method [
## lmerModLmerTest]
## Formula: skinVL_change ~ treatment + overall_adhere + overall_safety +  
##     period + (1 | ptid)
##    Data: merged
## 
## REML criterion at convergence: 5269.4
## 
## Scaled residuals: 
##     Min      1Q  Median      3Q     Max 
## -3.4333 -0.6760  0.0316  0.6391  3.5333 
## 
## Random effects:
##  Groups   Name        Variance Std.Dev.
##  ptid     (Intercept)    0      0.00   
##  Residual             1072     32.74   
## Number of obs: 540, groups:  ptid, 180
## 
## Fixed effects:
##                                Estimate Std. Error       df t value
## (Intercept)                    105.6003     9.9680 533.0000  10.594
## treatmentGel B                 -24.4131     3.6314 533.0000  -6.723
## treatmentGel C                 -36.9951     3.5493 533.0000 -10.423
## overall_adhere                   1.8154     0.2753 533.0000   6.594
## overall_safetyNo Adverse Event  55.7940     5.2166 533.0000  10.696
## periodperiod2                    0.8567     3.4535 533.0000   0.248
## periodperiod3                    1.6225     3.4507 533.0000   0.470
##                                            Pr(>|t|)    
## (Intercept)                    < 0.0000000000000002 ***
## treatmentGel B                       0.000000000046 ***
## treatmentGel C                 < 0.0000000000000002 ***
## overall_adhere                       0.000000000103 ***
## overall_safetyNo Adverse Event < 0.0000000000000002 ***
## periodperiod2                                 0.804    
## periodperiod3                                 0.638    
## ---
## Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## 
## Correlation of Fixed Effects:
##             (Intr) trtmGB trtmGC ovrll_ ov_NAE prdpr2
## treatmntGlB -0.429                                   
## treatmntGlC -0.354  0.534                            
## overall_dhr -0.826  0.311  0.234                     
## ovrll_sfNAE -0.627  0.079  0.033  0.206              
## periodperd2 -0.137 -0.008 -0.005 -0.025 -0.037       
## periodperd3 -0.180  0.001  0.001  0.004  0.009  0.499
## optimizer (nloptwrap) convergence code: 0 (OK)
## boundary (singular) fit: see help('isSingular')
Comparison Beta 95% CI p-value
Intercept (Pill A, Period 1, Sequence 0, No Adherence or AE) 105.6 86.0, 125.2 <0.001
Treatment

<0.001
    Gel B vs Pill A -24.4 -31.5, -17.3
    Gel C vs Pill A -37.0 -44.0, -30.0
Additional Day of Adherence 1.8 1.3, 2.4 <0.001
Adverse Event

<0.001
    No Adverse Event 55.8 45.5, 66.0
Period

0.9
    Period 2 vs Period 1 0.9 -5.9, 7.6
    Period 3 vs Period 1 1.6 -5.2, 8.4
Abbreviation: CI = Confidence Interval
##  contrast       estimate   SE  df t.ratio p.value
##  Pill A - Gel B     24.4 3.63 412   6.721  <.0001
##  Pill A - Gel C     37.0 3.55 388  10.422  <.0001
##  Gel B - Gel C      12.6 3.47 359   3.631  0.0009
## 
## Results are averaged over the levels of: overall_safety, period 
## Degrees-of-freedom method: kenward-roger 
## P value adjustment: tukey method for comparing a family of 3 estimates
##  contrast          estimate   SE  df t.ratio p.value
##  period1 - period2   -0.857 3.45 356  -0.248  0.9666
##  period1 - period3   -1.623 3.45 355  -0.470  0.8853
##  period2 - period3   -0.766 3.45 356  -0.222  0.9733
## 
## Results are averaged over the levels of: treatment, overall_safety 
## Degrees-of-freedom method: kenward-roger 
## P value adjustment: tukey method for comparing a family of 3 estimates